Jump to content

Legosi (Tani Coyote)

SSMB Moderator
  • Content Count

    12,127
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    5

Everything posted by Legosi (Tani Coyote)

  1. The FNAF visual novels are always fun until Foxy says something along the lines of "your face reminds me of pizza :D"

  2. Yes, but that's slightly different from the situation being described here. That is money basically paid in exchange for taking a policy view, even if it is not technically so. In the Collins funding case, the activists are saying they will back her opponent or not based on what she does. Now while the watchdogs are screaming bribery, I'm not sure it qualifies. Every interest group makes implicit threats with its funding. Planned Parenthood and the NRA always have an implicit threat they will back primary challengers more in line with their views. It's why I do not think it would class as bribery. Collins is not being offered the money herself for a No vote. She's just on notice that there is a tidal wave of money ready to go to her opponent if she votes Yes. It's largely semantics, but if threatening a politician's campaign prospects counts as bribery, then logically every citizen who has said "if you do this, you lose my vote" also needs to be charged with bribery. In short the realities of democracy make it hard to claim "bribery" for most things. I think there's a stark difference between a large number of people pooling money and threatening to donate it to an opponent and something like a coal executive slipping a politician a personal check in exchange for loosening coal regulations. In fact, the Supreme Court's been quite clear that money is free speech, so threatening to give or withhold funds is most likely protected.
  3. It honestly brings me joy to see Chris Ayres being able to reprise his role as Frieza (yeah I know the original trailer had him but this is my first time hearing them because honestly I have not really been following this film). Also the way they have that horde of battleships really establishes how far the Frieza Force had fallen by the start of the Frieza arc. From originally being able to make a display like that to just... kind of being around.
  4. Update: Having moved to ActBlue, the effort to raise money for Collins' 2020 opponent has hit $3 million. For comparison, Collins had about $6 million on hand for her 2014 campaign. Collins has historically been able to court an enormous amount of support in a traditionally blue state, but this decision seems to have eroded all that goodwill. Collins voted against Betsy DeVos, saved Obamacare, has routinely defended Planned Parenthood and abortion rights, but her decision to so casually give Kavanaugh a pass might just cost her her seat in 2020. A watchdog group has asked the DOJ to investigate and see if this would count as illegal bribery. I think not, since they're not paying Collins, just threatening to back her challenger if she does not do what they want. If this is illegal, that would make the NRA a much bigger culprit, because it routinely threatens to back primary challengers if a Republican caves even a little on gun control. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/05/politics/susan-collins-2020-challenge/index.html Former Obama National Security Adviser and UN Ambassador Susan Rice has hinted she might run against Collins in 2020. She has not fully committed, but it's not looking good for Collins.
  5. What's more, the House flipping ironically could end up saving our government. For all the Framers' consensus that it would be the most unruly branch of the government, it actually might replace the Senate as the most bipartisan of the branches. If the Democrats win, they're looking over a rules change which would allow bills with a certain number of cosponsors to bypass the Speaker and their power to block legislation that is too moderate for their liking. This would allow Democrats to work with moderate Republicans and get an impressive number of bills on the floor, which no doubt would also fare well in the Senate. There are so many Senate bills which have passed by excellent, often veto-proof, margins, only to die in the House due to the Hastert Rule (the Speaker only allows votes on legislation that half their party approves). If the Hastert Rule dies, then we might get serious progress on things like DACA reform, Obamacare reform, etc. There are still plenty of moderates on both sides in the House. They've just been forced to be quiet for decades as the parties become more and more polarized. With the Senate rapidly declining in quality, the House may ironically be what keeps us from descending into complete mob rule. Here's the consolation prize to conservatives even if the Democrats take the House: Nancy Pelosi's time as an all-powerful Speaker will probably be over very fast. Even if she keeps the position, the Speakership is liable to lose a lot of power due to rules changes.
  6. All eyes will be on Chief Justice Roberts going forward. While he argued against gay marriage in the initial case, he ended up siding to protect gay rights in later cases. It's widely assumed he is politically savvy and understands LGBT rights are not the hill for conservatives to die on. Roberts also is the reason we still have Obamacare, when Mr. Oh-so-moderate Kennedy would have voted to strike it down completely. Roberts presumably knows any huge rollbacks of abortion rights or LGBT rights will anger Democrats and make the #PackTheCourt movement a lot stronger. He would be wise to err on the side of caution. In the world of Trump and Mitch McConnell steadily unraveling everything respectable about government, Chief Justice Roberts really is the last hope here. That's a depressing thought, but that's where we are. He gets to decide the tone of American politics going forward. Namely, whether we decide to keep our separation of powers or begin the road towards parliamentary supremacy. https://www.yahoo.com/news/susan-collins-triggers-2-million-211042811.html?.tsrc=fauxdal Breaking: Susan Collins has generated $2 million in donations to her 2020 opponent's campaign. As of right now, there is no formal opponent, but the funds will be held in escrow. The funds will only be charged if she votes Yes tomorrow. This is clearly a tactic to convince her to change her mind, seeing how many people she's pissed off. Will she? Who knows.
  7. Clarence Thomas is 70. I can only pray he doesn't think to retire under Trump. If a Democrat wins in 2020 and 2024, they have a good chance at shifting the balance back. The next Democratic President also needs to convince Ginsburg and Breyer, both in their 80s, to step down so they can be replaced with younger liberals. Scalia was 79 when he passed. This nonsense is really highlighting why an amendment to abolish the life term in favor of long, staggered terms would be a good idea.
  8. Susan Collins and Joe Manchins have said they will vote Yes tomorrow. Short of last minute shenanigans, Justice Kavanaugh will be a thing. Collins just toasted her credentials as a leading voice for women on the GOP side. If Kavanaugh is part of any huge pro-life decision, I hope Collins gets raked over the electoral coals in 2020. She's been in politics long enough to know a justice nominee saying "settled law" is a smokescreen, since the Court can change precedent whenever it wants. She deserves to be punished.
  9. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_1809251359.pdf#page=3 54% of Republicans (and 12% of Democrats and 31% of Independents) say Brett Kavanaugh should be confirmed even if the Ford allegations are true. That's rather concerning. https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/kavanaugh-fbi-investigation-oct-18/h_4a3fa60128149f3c52d1040ec8446b02 Breaking: Jeff Flake has said he will vote Yes on Kavanaugh. Murkowski is a no. That leaves Manchin and Collins. If they both vote No, Kavanaugh is finished. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/05/politics/donald-trump-protesters-george-soros-brett-kavanaugh/index.html Meanwhile, Trump's contempt for the First Amendment has reared its ugly head again as he says the protesters are basically paid Soros plants.
  10. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/05/politics/senate-kavanaugh-vote/index.html The Senate has voted to advance Kavanaugh's nomination to a final vote tomorrow. The vote was 51-49, mostly party line but with GOP Senator Lisa Murkowski voting against and Democratic Senator Joe Manchin voting for. Even if Manchin votes No tomorrow, Pence will be there to break the tie, and that will make Kavanaugh the first Justice to be confirmed by the Vice President. This would be a fantastic time for Jeff Flake to honor Senator McCain by doing what he did: voting to advance the vote, then issuing Trump a soul crushing defeat on the actual vote. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/05/politics/collins-kavanaugh-vote-nomination-announcement/index.html Kavanaugh's confirmation is not a for-sure thing, however. Collins, Murkowski, Flake and Manchin have all declined to commit to a final Yes vote. It is still possible Manchin, Flake, and Collins will vote against Kavanaugh on the actual vote, and that will sink him. Most jurisdictions send out sample ballots ahead of election time so you can see all your choices for each office and conduct research.
  11. Absolutely. The level of disdain for the rural working class is eye opening sometimes. I always like when Democrats talk about how the party's future lies in the suburbs and not in the countryside, personally. Because that too is eye opening, because a Democratic Party based in the suburbs will be locked towards neoliberalism. A word of fairness here: conservatives give a lot more to charity as a proportion than liberals. Even when they are poorer. This is considered to be motivated by religiosity, but it's key to remember a lot of "conservative circles" actually have anarcho-collectivist ideas. They are practicing what they preach in terms of believing in individual charity as a means to create a social safety net. We do not have as many polarized leftists as we do polarized conservatives, however. Were a real, ideologically coherent left to form in this country, things could change. On the right you get fascists, but on the left you can get tankies. Especially when one considers how much of American politics is people with left wing economic values being coopted on the basis of right wing cultural values. A lot of Americans love social programs, they just hate when non-whites get them. Just shows how important it is to get out and vote next month, really. Plus, with the Kavanaugh hearing set to wrap up, it's entirely possible the enthusiasm gap will widen again. That's the fun part about the midterms: it is the angry customers who vote more. Democrats will remember Kavanaugh's confirmation more than Republicans.
  12. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/04/politics/senate-receives-fbi-kavanaugh-file/index.html While the investigation remains published as a single copy in the Capitol and is not being released to the public, it appears to be complete. Jeff Flake and Collins have hinted that they will vote for Kavanaugh's confirmation. McConnell is cheering the report as having no information to support Ford's testimony. There are naturally lots of sore feelings about how the report is not being made public. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/04/politics/supreme-court-justice-john-paul-stevens-kavanaugh/index.html Former Justice John Paul Stevens, a Gerald Ford appointee who formed part of the Court's liberal wing, has said that Kavanaugh should not be allowed to serve on the Court. He cites Kavanaugh's emotional outburst at the hearing and overt political bias as reasons he is not fit to serve. Considering the Court's legitimacy stems from good temperament and a perception of judges as having political values without being overly political, Stevens has a point here. Kavanaugh is really not a good pick. There are countless other choices. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/04/politics/sasse-kavanaugh-nominate-woman/index.html In fact, Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse originally asked Trump to appoint a woman to the position. He anticipated a #MeToo possibility with any male appointee, so urged Trump to err on the side of caution so as to avoid dragging down the Senate and Court. It's no surprise Trump did not listen.
  13. 4 years ago, I was waking up in New York City to attend a Sonic convention. Now here I am, basically planning my life around furcons. My condition clearly worsened.

    1. Legosi (Tani Coyote)

      Legosi (Tani Coyote)

      Less stressful though! Furcons are fairly predictable and much better to deal with emotionally than the chaos that is Sonic conventions.

    2. Kiah

      Kiah

      I can’t believe that was 4 years ago...Time sure does fly!! 

      And amid all the chaos at least it was fun!

  14. A movement is rather meaningless if it is not actively siding with political forces. Democrats would ultimately serve the pro-life movement more in the long run, because Democratic policies could quite possibly make abortion a moot issue. Republican policies will just force abortion into the shadows, with all the ethically questionable procedures that entails. Not the best analogy, but it's the same principle. There's a lot of emotional weight that goes into the decision and it's something a lot of people would prefer to avoid. A lot of women seeking an abortion would be happy to become mothers, but they need more support first. They need financial assistance to take care of the child's needs. They need a male partner who will offer to sacrifice his career rather than expecting she will sacrifice hers. In absence of that, they'd at least like assurance that if they put the child up for adoption, they will have a decent quality of life. Sadly, a lot of pro-life activists are also in the "make adoption as hard as possible" camp, even as studies pour in that say gay parents, single parents, etc. are all better than no parents. This thread has a left-wing tilt but that doesn't mean moderators are just going to allow blatant ad hominem attacks on conservatives. The sexual assault was beyond the mother's control, is the thing. The abstinence-only argument against abortion is based on making someone face consequences for their actions. If rape is not granted as an exception, it makes the original argument seem much more hollow.
  15. I'm looking at a map of US states by their legal pot policy and I saw Utah and I just remembered Senator Romney is about to be a thing and I'm cry laughing

  16. The problem with abstinence only is it just goes against human nature. We, like any species, are inclined to breed to stave off natural selection. That same act also provides a lot of emotional health benefits that make not participating a really tough sell unless a person is completely asexual. Access to contraception is really the best route. But even those are not foolproof, so it leads to a bit of a conundrum. That said, the pro-life movement would be far better served aligning itself with the Democrats than the GOP. The leading reason people cite for having abortions is lack of funds to raise the child. And foster care being what it is (it's not good overall), a lot of mothers are not comfortable with the adoption option either. What's more, since the Democrats do not worship austerity the same way the GOP does, they would be in a better position to allocate funding for viability technology. Under the Casey decision, the further back technology pushes the practicality of removing a fetus and supporting it with artificial means, the narrower the timeframe for legal abortion becomes. The emotional process women have before, during, and after the process is generally more akin to that last day with your pet at the vet. It is a very emotional decision filled with lots of regrets and what-ifs at first, but most women end up deciding it was the best choice. It's not murder, it's euthanasia. Overall though, a vast amount of social spending on education, financial assistance, and scientific technology will do a lot more to limit abortions than any full-on ban, and it will not incur the same negative externalities that a ban would. There's a reason it's one of the instances where practically everyone agrees abortion should be an option. At that point, it really is up to the mother to weigh the options and make the choice.
  17. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/03/politics/richard-ojeda-west-virginia-trump-country-congress/index.html All eyes are on West Virginia, where Richard Ojeda is seen as a test of whether or not Democrats can retake rural parts of the country from the GOP. Ojeda voted for Trump on the basis of his populist message, but has turned against the GOP when he sees Trump focusing more on a border wall and filling his Cabinet with rich people like DeVos than helping the people of West Virginia with jobs and healthcare. Ojeda supports legalizing marijuana to weaken Big Pharma and help alleviate the opioid crisis, and feels building flood walls would do far more good for the state than any border wall. Ojeda is supportive of the coal industry and the jobs it creates, but he has enormous disdain for coal executives and how they've concentrated profits towards themselves. Ojeda's criticism of Clinton is scathing. He explains the reason coal country voted for Trump over Clinton was Clinton's message to people was that they needed to take lower paying jobs, often in another part of the country. When Trump was making promises to bring coal back, he naturally sold better to that class of voters. While Ojeda has given praise to Trump for loosening coal regulations, he feels Trump is an autocrat lover and plutocrat enabler who is far away from the working class, populist ideas that many people voted for him for. And that's why he's running as a Democrat, and only a few points behind the Republican in a district Trump carried by 49 points in 2016. Most Democratic politicians are religious is the thing. And a lot of them are personally pro-life (some people say this is the same as being pro-choice, but the wording is chosen for a reason, to separate them from the "lump of cells" activists) and pro-traditional marriage. But they don't think those religious morals should inform public policy, because not everyone is of that faith, and there are economic, irreligious reasons to support pro-choice legislation and gay marriage. Then you have John Bel Edwards of Louisiana. He has strong religious values and signed into law the toughest abortion ban in the country. And even he thinks the GOP's foaming at the mouth to destroy Planned Parenthood is irresponsible.
  18. They're most likely going to try and strike out any judges who would weaken abortion protections, same sex marriage, etc. One of Trump's lower appointees was apparently a conspiracy theorist who never really had any judicial position, he just had a blog. But he would support the administration's policies, so he was a-okay in the Senate's book. Also, if any judicial appointments open up in 2020, Trump can wager they will not be filled unless he nominates liberals. The Garland precedent means we will be seeing a lot of revenge in future appointment processes. We'll probably also see stronger criticism of any Cabinet appointments that crop up. Democrats would love to stock the Department of Education with people who would reinstate the LGBT and sexual assault protections that Betsy DeVos has gutted. The one mitigating factor in Democratic extremism is they have a weaker hand in the Senate. The Senate is slanted towards red states, so Democrats cannot be as overly partisan as Republicans in the chamber. There were plenty of Democrats ready to cross the aisle and vote for Kavanaugh, but then things started cropping up about him that raised eyebrows, and so most of those red state Democrats have backed away.
  19. https://www.bizjournals.com/newyork/news/2018/10/03/nj-governor-recreational-marijuana-be-legal-soon.html With Canada's legalized marijuana law taking effect in two weeks, the pressure will be on both of the USA's borders to end prohibition. New Jersey continues to wrestle with a legal marijuana bill, but Governor Phil Murphy is optimistic about a vote being held this month. North Dakota and Michigan are considering legalizing recreational marijuana in this year's midterm elections via ballot measures, and Governor Cuomo of New York has created a special group to write a bill that would legalize and regulate it within New York. If this keeps up, I would not be surprised if a bill to reconsider marijuana's exact legal status comes before Congress, especially if the Democrats take both chambers. Pelosi and Schumer have largely avoided it, and Pelosi's likely usurpers in the House tend to be courting moderates who would not really be interested in an impeachment. It's largely keyboard warriors and Russian bots calling for impeachment at this point. Especially since, even with a Democratic wipeout in the midterms, they will not get remotely close to 67 seats, and there's no way any Republican Senator would vote to remove Trump. The American government was not built with partisan loyalties in mind. It was meant to balance state interests, not partisan interests, and it certainly was not built with hyperpartisan primaries selecting Senators in mind. If the Democrats take power in November, the Senate will be focused on blocking overly conservative appointees, while the House will be focused on rules changes to allow more bipartisan bills. We will probably see more focus on DACA bills and Obamacare reform (one bipartisan proposal is getting rid of the medical device tax and making it easier to get waivers from the HHS Secretary) than anything resembling impeaching Trump, especially because Democrats will need a few Republican members of Congress to override Trump vetoes.
  20. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/02/politics/trump-brett-kavanaugh-turning-point-election-educated-white-women-voters/index.html The Kavanaugh case might empower a blue wave, because it is turning college educated white women against the GOP in much higher numbers than before. 61% believe Ford, and 58% believe the Kavanaugh nomination should be shelved. The case is highlighting class differences, because just over half of white women without college degrees believe Kavanaugh. Analysts attribute this to career experiences: blue collar women are more likely to work positions where there is less competition with men, so gender issues are less salient for them. Arguably yes. Newt Gingrich was quick to run the 1998 campaign on bringing Clinton down with impeachment in light of the Lewinsky scandal. ...it's one of the rare midterm elections where the President's Party gained seats. This is why Democrats are smart to not make "impeach Trump" their message this year. It does not sell as well as one would think. Although hilariously, the GOP has been focusing on how Democrats will impeach Trump if they take power. Noteworthy thing about the Clinton impeachment: it was passed by the lame duck Congress after the GOP ended up losing seats in the 1998 race. The Democrats only gained 5 seats, but that would have been enough to sink one of the two charges Clinton was impeached for. So yeah, there's some political ugliness right there.
  21. Mind is blown. Today I learned there are two Coyotes in Navajo stories. Great Coyote is a wise and powerful coyote who helps humans, but there's another called First Angry/Scolder who is rather reckless and volatile. They're both called Coyote when in separate scenes from each other, but the second one has basically kept the name until today. So it's an Ansem the Wise and "Ansem" story, essentially, with the person actually named Coyote having their name riffed by someone else.

  22. I will always associate this music with the time a giant fidget spinner tried to knock everyone off the stage

    1. Zaysho

      Zaysho

      Not sure if I should be angry I instantly remembered what you were referring to lol

  23. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/02/politics/donald-trump-brett-kavanaugh-testimony/index.html Meaningless because of who it comes from, but Trump has said lying to Congress would be a red line for him. Meanwhile, get ready to hate the GOP leadership a bit more: https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/02/politics/mcconnell-kavanaugh-vote-fbi-report/index.html Mitch McConnell has said there will be a vote this week, refusing to delay the vote any further. He seemed to condition this on the FBI report getting out, but knowing Mitch... https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/02/politics/lindsey-graham-renominate-kavanaugh/index.html Lindsey Graham, meanwhile, is continuing to be Kavanaugh's biggest advocate, saying that if the nomination fails, Trump should renominate him. According to Graham, this would put the vote directly in the hands of the American people, presumably meaning the midterms would get to decide. What trash logic, because if he really cared about the people choosing, he would be playing the game of not considering Kavanaugh at all, echoing McConnell's nonsensical idea back in 2016. You can bet this slimeball will try to push Kavanaugh in a lame duck session if the GOP loses control of the Senate next month.
  24. Think for October I'll switch over to being Coyote. A folkloric figure as horrifying as humorous depending on the story.

  25. https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/01/politics/beto-orourke-apologizes-college-newspaper/index.html Beto O'Rourke has apologized for an article he wrote when he was 19, when he stated the only qualifications for actresses in a musical were their "breasts and buttocks." He is presumably owning up to his objectifying remarks so as to stave off the GOP using them against him in the race. https://www.cnn.com/2018/09/30/politics/flake-fbi-kavanaugh-investigation/index.html Jeff Flake has said he would consider the nomination over if there is evidence Kavanaugh lied during the hearing. Well, we have that now, so if he sticks true to that statement and gets joined by one more Republican... Trump really needs to just withdraw Kavanaugh's nomination and put someone else up for discussion.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

You must read and accept our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy to continue using this website. We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.